Yes position
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $44.47
- Potential payout
- $317.65
- Potential profit
- $273.17
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Polymarket Trader
Rio777
0x08476ddac9ab56acd7af53ded8712cf9f62bb07b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.67
- Realized PnL
- $203.49
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.91
- Potential profit
- $199.91
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.38
- Potential profit
- $185.38
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.71
- Potential profit
- $122.71
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $44.87
- Potential payout
- $119.64
- Potential profit
- $74.78
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $50.33
- Potential payout
- $58.52
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.17
- Potential profit
- $53.17
- User PnL
- -$21.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.74
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.39
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Yes 15.7% 317.65 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 55% 90.91 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 55% 45.45 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 85.4% 58.52 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 41.8% 119.64 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 49.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 85% 23.25 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 43% 23.26 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?No 57% 17.54 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 15% 33.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 21% 23.81 shares