Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $786
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Polymarket Trader
LeonardoWeb3
@Leonardo_Web3
0x084f9ef69587b1451eb794c4c5a0b5c942be8b8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.85K
- Realized PnL
- $6.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $786
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $29.06
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$865.44
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $14.76
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.43
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $86.08
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $944.85
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$13.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $154.21
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $857.02
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $64.21
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $942.5
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $177.66
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $759.84
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $27.66
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $28.59
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $908.91
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $89.82
- Potential payout
- $884.96
- Potential profit
- $795.13
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $24.58
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $808.75
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $14.58
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $759.62
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $33.1
- Potential payout
- $711.81
- Potential profit
- $678.71
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $680
- Potential profit
- $586.5
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $33.43
- Potential payout
- $602.41
- Potential profit
- $568.98
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$16.57
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $546.39
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $598.24
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.85
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.73
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.92
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.15
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.83
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $285.63
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.74
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.36
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.87
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.26
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.86
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.92
No position
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.64
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.8
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.03
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.2% 937.5 shares
- Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons 65% 30.77 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons 59% 34 shares