CahoNiMa

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.14
Potential profit: $52.14
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $44.72
Potential profit: $36.89
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $15.78
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $24.37
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.44
Potential profit: $32.44
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $18.19
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $22.12
Potential profit: $19.52
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76
Potential profit: $17.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.11
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.11

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $13.05
Potential profit: $11.27
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $10.34
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.77
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

MOUZ position

BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZ

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?