Polymarket Trader

0x085e...5711

0x085ed2dda9d89680b05b46a37ca50a09a2fb5711

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $265.66
Realized PnL: $342.4
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $253.49
Potential payout: $569.64
Potential profit: $316.15
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$196.51

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $12.46
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.39
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $3.6
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.84
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gay" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.64

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.6

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 24 be between 80 and 85?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Over 2.5 position

Laslo Djere vs. Sebastian Ofner: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Avalanche position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.42

Hurricanes position

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.62

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.74

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Under position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 5.15 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 10.31 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 44% 2.68 shares
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 24 be between 80 and 85?

Yes 0.2% 6.02 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 4.65 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 20.83 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 44.99 shares
Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?

Yes 43% 20.83 shares
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 24 be between 80 and 85?

No 99% 5.1 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 47% 22.7 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.3% 74.87 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares