Polymarket Trader

ece

0x087e468000b43a11cf3f75a30c1cc422e31e528b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.5
Realized PnL: $73.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $91.21
Potential profit: $49.71
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.23
Potential profit: $35.23
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $7.06
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will Elon be worth $500b before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Trump negative approval before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Greece position

Euro Basket: Spain vs Greece

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Google forced to sell Chrome?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Greece position

Euro Basket: Greece vs Israel

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Portugal position

Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germany

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Trump resign in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 42% 91.21 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 90% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 99.6% 10.84 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 85% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 92.2% 10.85 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 85% 20 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

No 93.9% 10.65 shares
Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Latvia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

No 99.9% 70.07 shares
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germany

Germany 99.9% 10 shares
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germany

Germany 99.9% 20 shares