Polymarket Trader

nonch-winner

0x088ebed03549fe73c2117b535be5a00aa30c8827

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.18
Realized PnL: $129.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.51
Potential profit: $219.51
User PnL: -$9.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.8
Potential profit: $122.8
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.75
Potential profit: $110.75
User PnL: -$70.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.42
Potential profit: $79.42
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.85
Potential profit: $61.85
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.4
Potential profit: $57.4
User PnL: -$9.58

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.83
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.05
Potential profit: $37.05
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.25
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.28
Potential profit: $22.28
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.68
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.91
Potential profit: $8.91
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.34
Potential profit: $7.34
User PnL: -$1.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $5.38
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 32% 16.66 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 12% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 42.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 42.32 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 28% 6.25 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 78% 13.88 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 36% 13.89 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 45.5% 4.59 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 43.5% 4.6 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 58% 7.2 shares