Polymarket Trader

MisTKy3

@MisTky007

0x088ffbbc6f2c0b3839d2832e75f37e1bcecbc9e7

Verified Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.98K
Realized PnL: $196.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $13.97K
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: $7

No position

Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984.75
Potential profit: $984.75
User PnL: -$195.95

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.3
Potential profit: $149.3
User PnL: -$28.69

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$88.32

DRX position

LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.91
User PnL: -$2.69

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.92K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.5K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.28K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87K

Yes position

Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59K

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25K

Yes position

Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18K

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78K

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61K

Yes position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.57K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

No position

Trump trade deal in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

No position

Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45K

No position

Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.42K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15K

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61K

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.38K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99.7% 14,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 14,999.95 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98.1% 5,932.96 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.4% 15,793 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 86.6% 23.97 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 99.8% 14,895 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 92.9% 650 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 93% 8,800 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 92.4% 5,369.08 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 98% 12,740.64 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 92% 96 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 10,302.41 shares