No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $99.61
- Potential payout
- $101.18
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
Quietwooda
0x08a782e74afa7ee085e764d789cc5abfa688a483
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.61
- Realized PnL
- $87.13
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
CCG Esports position
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.95
- Potential profit
- $21.95
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 98.8% 101.18 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 41% 134.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.7% 55.26 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.9% 55.27 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?Yes 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes 77.8% 16.71 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No 94.5% 25.4 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 93% 25.26 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 95% 25.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99% 24.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.9% 24.27 shares