No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $132
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $316.83
Polymarket Trader
KariSpice
0x08ab85cd4836e0cf068594a49ab8dc732c3a3af9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.95K
- Realized PnL
- $824.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $944.99
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$153.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $431.12
- Potential payout
- $431.34
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $289.17
- Potential payout
- $299.96
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $103.69
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $198.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$15.2
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $98.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $79.64
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $59.49
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $24.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $25.75
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $49.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.82
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $39.82
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $33.9
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $29.87
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $29.04
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $29.88
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $19.85
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $17.87
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $17.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.76
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.8
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.4
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.75
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $41.82
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.64
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $12.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 96.4% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 97.9% 15 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No 97.8% 20 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 54% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 22.7% 10 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 99.2% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 98.3% 100 shares