Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $116.24
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$101.71
Polymarket Trader
oiffrfs
0x08bb7c8ad0662d0d6e6e8413836801a352f40385
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.24
- Realized PnL
- $101.13
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.76
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 717 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 645 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 585 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 8.94 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.1% 8.94 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.3% 720 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.2% 645 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.2% 582 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.2% 385 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.2% 345 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 51% 1,160 shares