Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Polymarket Trader
xpet1
0x08bff07116d1f197f249088ef30f99a90a1e30b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $908.88
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $799.98
- User PnL
- -$579.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606
- Potential profit
- $606
- User PnL
- -$77.95
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.51
- Potential profit
- $565.51
- User PnL
- -$342.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $482
- Potential payout
- $482
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $455.44
Yes position
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428
- Potential profit
- $428
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $101.13
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.15
- Potential profit
- $95.15
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $86
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.47
- Potential payout
- $85.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $27.89
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $55.58
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $56.52
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $31.64
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$14.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.49
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.31
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.31
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.09
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.86
No position
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $17.31
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.49
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.3% 1.03 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 98.6% 5 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99% 5 shares
- Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Yes 94% 20.01 shares
- Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Yes 95.9% 10 shares
- Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Yes 95.9% 5 shares
- Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?No 95% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 66% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.2% 5 shares