Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $42.84
- Potential payout
- $255.75
- Potential profit
- $212.91
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Polymarket Trader
0xRayleigh
0x08c5d879936675d24171061e780a4795ddefe420
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.5
- Realized PnL
- $159.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $60.87
- Potential payout
- $159.55
- Potential profit
- $98.68
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $13.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $20.44
- Potential payout
- $102.99
- Potential profit
- $82.54
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
N
No position
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.14
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $17.71
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 48.8% 18.18 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 27.5% 18.18 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?No 91.3% 9.9 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?No 50.5% 9.9 shares
- Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 31.8% 40 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?No 38.3% 10 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.2% 160 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 33% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown 20% 5 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 20 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.5% 37.04 shares