Polymarket Trader

concertao

0x08c9b13bec089b642118a0a2ce8d1736baaba9cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $531.55
Realized PnL: -$446.93
Win rate: 26.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $120 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Hyperliquid exploit before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$195.22

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$10

Democratic position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $975.61
Potential profit: $975.61
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.78
Potential profit: $810.78
User PnL: -$140

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.85
Potential profit: $396.85
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $298.55
Potential profit: $294.66
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $282.57
Potential payout: $298.54
Potential profit: $15.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.66
Potential profit: $286.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$10

France position

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.46
Potential profit: $234.46
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $127.05
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $82.95
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $82.95
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $127.05
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15.31
Potential payout: $204.09
Potential profit: $188.79
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $204.09
Potential profit: $201.64
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $17.35
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $186.74
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.06

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group A?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

England position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$20.6

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$25.93

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$59.18

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$178.46

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$202.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?

No 81% 60 shares
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes 9.9% 60 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 63% 0.03 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 88% 0.02 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 41% 97.32 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 64.1% 97.35 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 90% 97.34 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 63% 0.01 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 41% 5.16 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 90% 5.17 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 64.1% 5.18 shares
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?

No 51% 0.01 shares