Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $290.07
- Potential payout
- $303.74
- Potential profit
- $13.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Polymarket Trader
Sartum
0x08e7894bde1331c3324d697eafcb1b4f86c7193d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $290.07
- Realized PnL
- $443.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.64
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.3
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.61
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.54
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.33
Yes position
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.93
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.59
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 294.74 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 1,677.63 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 1,052.63 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?33.6% 123.54 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.2% 625 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.9% 354.78 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?3.1% 42.58 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 380.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 380.08 shares
- Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 77% 320 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 68% 255.45 shares