Polymarket Trader

tj9

@Diemondhandz

0x08f5165fc4daf68a49bf6d84e5e05c981b4828e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.16K
Realized PnL: $2.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $174.91
Potential payout: $15.21K
Potential profit: $15.03K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$37.31

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $81.95
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $31.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$31.8

Yes position

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.35
Potential profit: $928.35
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $59.59
Potential payout: $627.27
Potential profit: $567.68
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$74.41

No position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.36
Potential profit: $512.36
User PnL: -$428

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.53
Potential profit: $485.53
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.24
Potential profit: $418.24
User PnL: -$186

Yes position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $368
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $148.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $201.25
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $36.25

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $16.72
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $328.1
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$83.28

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $214.47
Potential payout: $299.95
Potential profit: $85.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $14.47

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$40

Michigan Wolverines position

Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.47
Potential profit: $270.47
User PnL: -$142.99

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $30.24
Potential payout: $262.92
Potential profit: $232.68
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$69.76

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $51.28
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $205.13
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$148.72

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $106.1
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $137.8
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $222.28
Potential payout: $235.84
Potential profit: $13.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.28

Njokuani position

UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.84
Potential profit: $226.84
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$66

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$186

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Bills position

Bills vs. Jaguars

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Spivac position

UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Yes position

Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.99

Bautista position

UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Red Wings position

Lightning vs. Red Wings

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.88

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.83

Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Lions position

Giants vs. Lions

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.86

OMalley position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36

Teixeira position

UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.19

Caio Borralho position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.58

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.14

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Costa position

UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Dern position

Dern vs. Jandiroba

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.87

No position

Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.22

Raul Rosas Jr. position

UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66.7% 299.95 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 82% 243.9 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Over 14% 285.71 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Sean OMalley 78% 128.21 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mauricio Ruffy 81% 123.46 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 196.08 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 93% 537.74 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 169.49 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?

Yes 99.1% 302.73 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?

No 99.9% 1,000.93 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?

No 90% 220.62 shares