Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $163.31
- Potential payout
- $666.56
- Potential profit
- $503.26
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$47.36
Polymarket Trader
JMRD
0x09276e991089bc181376e57b697eaf6ba06e3048
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207.06
- Realized PnL
- $393.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.6
- Potential profit
- $479.6
- User PnL
- -$136.39
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $268.49
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $22.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Down position
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $13.1
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Up position
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.24
Yes position
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.06
Yes position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Djokovic position
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Up position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
BNB Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown 67% 7.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown 69% 7.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 76% 6.58 shares
- Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Yes 51% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 46% 15.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 32% 15.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 24% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 9% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 21% 23.81 shares