Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $80.24
- Potential profit
- $69.13
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Polymarket Trader
dandakao
0x093156b7dba5d36a341d7a879409104b7ffedfc8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $202.95
- Realized PnL
- $150.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $62.14
- Potential payout
- $64.9
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.14
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $37.45
- Potential profit
- $27.02
- Multiplier
- 3.59x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $25.49
- Potential payout
- $34.21
- Potential profit
- $8.72
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $25.48
- Potential payout
- $28.31
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $7.47
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.46
- Potential profit
- $24.46
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $22.29
- Potential payout
- $22.59
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.62
- Potential profit
- $17.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.48
- Potential profit
- $11.48
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 52.2% 11.48 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 56.7% 17.62 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.7% 24.46 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 12.5% 80.24 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 76% 34.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 37.5 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 44% 13.48 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 27.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 69% 22.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 2.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 83% 18.07 shares