Polymarket Trader

Norae

0x09455b61518a56b3c79e356e36a95a2eabe15e7a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.81
Realized PnL: $1.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $5.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 84% 2.38 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 93.2% 2.15 shares
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Yes 94.6% 5.29 shares
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 98.5% 2.03 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 91% 6.59 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 81% 1.85 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Yes 92% 1.63 shares
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?

Yes 75% 1.39 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Yes 84% 1.9 shares