Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.54K
- Potential profit
- $21.54K
- User PnL
- -$13.62K
Polymarket Trader
Minecraft
0x094e3e7c5486ca7f5efd45de09857b873c70f10b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.92K
- Realized PnL
- $163.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.43K
- Potential profit
- $12.43K
- User PnL
- -$9.25K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$827.63
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$75.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- User PnL
- $334.16
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$950.14
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$121.23
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$48.55
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $46.72
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$760.79
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Yes position
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$46.79
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $162.92
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $135.43
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$33.86
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $126.54
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $175.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$833.25
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$30.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$70.21
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$30.1
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$30.19
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$30.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.06K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17K
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.72K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Joshua position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 74.9% 11,111 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 63% 11,695.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 61.7% 3,173.39 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 94.5% 20,271.01 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 96.4% 455.74 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No 98.9% 444 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 95.9% 10,190.7 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 4.1% 555 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94% 8,508.01 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.2% 555 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 2,371.61 shares
- Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?No 93.8% 36.48 shares