Polymarket Trader

RichRyan

0x094eee4d5249f84658b02f147c2610268785d40e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.47K
Realized PnL: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.53
Potential profit: $649.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $108.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $391.74
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $18.05

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $144.69
Potential payout: $431.91
Potential profit: $287.22
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$55.31

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386
Potential profit: $386
User PnL: -$380.98

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $214.19
Potential payout: $329.52
Potential profit: $115.33
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$55.47

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $277.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $212.42
Potential payout: $289
Potential profit: $76.59
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $31.41

Yes position

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $285
Potential profit: $256.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$66.7

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.2
Potential profit: $219.2
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.98
Potential profit: $208.98
User PnL: -$7.06

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$69.23

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$28

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $162.75
Potential payout: $175.95
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $12.43

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $144.18
Potential payout: $172.67
Potential profit: $28.49
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$3.07

No position

TikTok sale announced by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.01
Potential profit: $160.01
User PnL: -$12.59

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.77
Potential profit: $139.77
User PnL: -$66.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.86
Potential profit: $117.86
User PnL: -$59.9

Suns position

Rockets vs. Suns

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.47

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.85

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.8

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.3

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.12

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.9

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.59

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.16

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.36

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.82

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.51

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.31

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Chiefs position

Colts vs. Chiefs

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Jaqueline Cristian position

HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 400 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 62.5% 159.97 shares
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian

Jaqueline Cristian 47% 63.83 shares
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 46.3% 431.91 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 88% 113.64 shares
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 59.99 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 0.2% 150 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 99.99 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Yes 0.1% 200 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 58.18 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.2% 240 shares