Polymarket Trader

0xe34io2jgo2jiort3gjo523g4355reio34

0x09514566d8034e301adb778f2bcf6875afd371ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.26
Realized PnL: $585.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $343.17
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$10.74

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$14.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $30.53
Potential payout: $96.93
Potential profit: $66.4
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $19.81

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $48.97
Potential payout: $80.94
Potential profit: $31.97
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $34.29

Yes position

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $70.93
Potential profit: $68.13
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $58.53
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.99
Potential profit: $61.99
User PnL: -$30.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $51.34
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $27.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.2

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.33
Potential profit: $35.33
User PnL: -$5.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$15.97

No position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $34.32
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$15.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$15.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$15.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $34.99
User PnL: -$15.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.98
Potential profit: $34.98
User PnL: -$15.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Down 47% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Down 46% 4.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 47% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 47% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Up 47% 11.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Up 47% 9.62 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?

No 26% 36.04 shares
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 9% 16 shares
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 87% 20 shares
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 90% 15 shares