Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
raghu79
0x0952819229fb73bd3460726909e2f285c054429a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $149.51
- Realized PnL
- $96.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.92
- Potential payout
- $45.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.74
- Potential profit
- $33.74
- User PnL
- -$2.89
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.89
- Potential payout
- $18.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.2
- Potential profit
- $14.2
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.18
- Potential profit
- $13.18
- User PnL
- -$9.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- User PnL
- -$3.17
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $6.13
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.43
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mexico leading at halftime?No 75% 6.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?No 69% 7.1 shares
- Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?No 79% 6.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?No 66% 7.11 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?Yes 68% 7.1 shares
- Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No 93% 6 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 78.8% 6.09 shares
- Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 91% 7 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 70% 6.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 77% 6.08 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?No 93% 6 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 70% 6.09 shares