Yes position
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
Polymarket Trader
username28
0x095b8d419f4e2194d94fa4ee1b604daa85d18a05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.58
- Realized PnL
- $631.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$13.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $24.03
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Y
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 71% 20 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 78% 20 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 6% 80 shares
- Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?No 63% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 30 shares
- Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 20 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 28.3% 30 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 31.1% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 8% 21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 8% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 30.8% 50 shares