No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.7%
- Current value
- $831.86
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $416.24
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $31.86
Polymarket Trader
WageringGrandma
0x096be54513c08d731e6ffd587372e4159447bf95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.26K
- Realized PnL
- $341.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $500.3
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $510.41
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$65.7
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $61.06
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $900.48
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $386.39
- Potential payout
- $780.58
- Potential profit
- $394.2
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$63.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.67
- Potential profit
- $466.67
- User PnL
- -$266
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $94.46
- Potential payout
- $401.97
- Potential profit
- $307.51
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$75.38
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $28.71
- Potential payout
- $396.04
- Potential profit
- $367.33
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$11.29
No position
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $296.8
- Potential payout
- $357.59
- Potential profit
- $60.79
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $283.8
- Potential payout
- $320.67
- Potential profit
- $36.88
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $17.8
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $275.31
- Potential payout
- $320.32
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $56.74
- Potential payout
- $299.4
- Potential profit
- $242.66
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $267.15
- Potential profit
- $262.47
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $21.59
- Potential payout
- $227.28
- Potential profit
- $205.69
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$28.41
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $142.41
- Potential profit
- $126.75
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $78.75
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $55.87
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $100.58
- Potential payout
- $121.92
- Potential profit
- $21.34
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $70.24
- Potential payout
- $89.47
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $50.39
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $27.73
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $48.36
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $17.43
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $52.6
- Potential payout
- $58.9
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.38
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $43.69
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $38.54
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 28% 851 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 47% 851.06 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 78.13 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No 42.5% 464.6 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 333.33 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 83.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 4,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?Yes 14% 142.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 82% 121.92 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 68% 73.53 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes 22% 45.45 shares