Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $193.4
- Potential payout
- $235.86
- Potential profit
- $42.45
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Polymarket Trader
PhotoFrame
0x097504b1410a1dc74784a3db15bf6598eefe522b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.56
- Realized PnL
- $15.66
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $129.16
- Potential payout
- $148.8
- Potential profit
- $19.64
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $29.16
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $23.99
- Potential payout
- $32.2
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
N
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 62.1% 32.2 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 67.2% 148.8 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 82.7% 120.92 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No 99.9% 29.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 86.9% 115.12 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 84% 119.05 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No 68.8% 29.07 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 7.1% 89.95 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes 22.2% 89.96 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90.7% 55.11 shares