Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.01K
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- User PnL
- $3.01
Polymarket Trader
notawinner99
0x097873704461492d3e23f900e07a8fbb14633137
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.36K
- Realized PnL
- $7.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $252.79
- Potential profit
- $248.37
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $168.5
- Potential payout
- $239
- Potential profit
- $70.51
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $63.34
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $68.21
- Potential payout
- $211.49
- Potential profit
- $143.28
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$18.12
Yes position
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $66.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $44.06
- Potential payout
- $49.51
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 11?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $673.28
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 10?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.68
No position
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.24
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $357.54
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $349.2
No position
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.14
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.65
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.58
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.28
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.05
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.62
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.88
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.39
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.35
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.7
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.02
No position
Will Ludwig & MoistCr1TiKaL win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.69
No position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?Yes 90.6% 49.51 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 15% 426.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 6,006.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 2,312 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.9% 1,197.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 28.57 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 3.7% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 1,023.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.9% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.9% 30 shares