Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $61.43
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Polymarket Trader
averbuk
0x099a3b16ea9baf1a8f617ac39a8aa3e496e8236c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.66
- Realized PnL
- $38.9K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $25.12
- Potential payout
- $59.81
- Potential profit
- $34.69
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$22.49
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $47.97
- Potential payout
- $47.99
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $18.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Falcons position
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1K
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01K
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Clippers position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Bulls position
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.29
Chargers position
Eagles vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.65
Missouri State position
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.66
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.4
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Al Ahly beat FC Porto?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Blue Jays position
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.22
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.5
No position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$138
76ers position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 79.6% 59.81 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.7% 47.99 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 62% 95.98 shares
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?No 46% 300 shares
- Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No 91% 50 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88% 25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88% 25 shares
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?No 85% 25 shares
- Cavaliers vs. WizardsCavaliers 90% 1,100 shares
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers 49% 250 shares
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers 49% 150 shares
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers 49% 1,400 shares