No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$58
Polymarket Trader
scxyy
0x099ce0b1f34570151fd30fc342d92e253db73685
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.02
- Realized PnL
- $814.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$55.24
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $636.5
- Potential profit
- $628.23
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$11.72
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $579.94
- Potential profit
- $576.46
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $501.23
- Potential profit
- $498.47
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$17.24
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$102.5
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $427.1
- Potential profit
- $427.1
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.77
- Potential profit
- $377.77
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.61
- Potential profit
- $369.61
- User PnL
- -$66.53
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- User PnL
- -$98
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.56
- Potential profit
- $345.56
- User PnL
- -$80.96
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.27
- Potential profit
- $332.27
- User PnL
- -$22.4
No position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.39
- Potential profit
- $329.39
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$29.6
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.09
- Potential profit
- $228.09
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$53
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $42.66
- Potential payout
- $155.13
- Potential profit
- $112.47
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will Trump resign today?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.69
- Potential profit
- $123.69
- User PnL
- -$15.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $76.88
- Potential payout
- $100.49
- Potential profit
- $23.62
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $26.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.5
No position
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.76
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.66
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.44
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.7
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.48
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.69
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $35.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.81
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.11
No position
Ethereum all time high by August 22?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.43
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.84
No position
Cardano ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Yes 0.9% 579.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 3.1% 636.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes 4% 501.23 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?Yes 1.1% 1,812.07 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes 33.4% 90.9 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes 16% 4.54 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 43% 12.3 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 92.6% 22.84 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 32% 96.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 31.6% 155.13 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 9% 555.56 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 21% 89.28 shares