No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- User PnL
- -$21
Polymarket Trader
0x09a4309884e0Dac441359E1F36A1421Bd1477155-1778470093265
0x09a4309884e0dac441359e1f36a1421bd1477155
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $341.77
- Realized PnL
- $865.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $150.61
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $89.46
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $29.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $49.58
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $783.75
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $780.4
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.64
- Potential profit
- $201.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $166.66
- Potential profit
- $154.16
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.47
- Potential profit
- $91.47
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.3
- Potential profit
- $77.3
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.64
- Potential profit
- $58.64
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.56
- Potential profit
- $50.56
- User PnL
- -$30.49
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.86
- Potential profit
- $43.86
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $30.42
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.52
- Potential profit
- $41.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.25
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.96
- Potential profit
- $33.96
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.14
- Potential profit
- $32.14
- User PnL
- -$9
Y
Yes position
Will Norway be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $8.77
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.49
- Potential profit
- $26.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.21
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.3% 1,212.12 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 833.33 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.4% 1,562.5 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp 16% 6.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares