Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $19.08
- Potential profit
- $14.59
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Polymarket Trader
0x09a9...45d3
0x09a906ef150de728d27fed373f28b52ebca745d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $107.96
- Realized PnL
- $127.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $8.61
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.7%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $8.09
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Up position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Up position
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Down position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.5% 8.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.2% 19.08 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.59 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 6?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 6 2026?No 39% 3.05 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes 45.1% 9.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of June 22 2026?No 66% 7.11 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 67% 7.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 49% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 74% 6 shares