Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Polymarket Trader
joshuaw18400442
0x09b96b9734a0ff31473fcb9fec86b3192f782244
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 104 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 44.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 44% 48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 144 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 26 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.3% 21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 46 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 99 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 25% 66 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.7% 17.79 shares