Polymarket Trader

CelticVenom

0x09bb2ab1c72871fd3d206cd36bf29a87ec9b1c5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $5.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $10.29K
User PnL: -$8.27K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $270.7
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$118.23

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$1.97K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $620
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $180
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587.02
Potential profit: $587.02
User PnL: -$93.92

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $346
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $78

No position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $177.26
Potential payout: $222.97
Potential profit: $45.71
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $32.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.78

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.96

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.06

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.3

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.37

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.11

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.97

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.48

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.6

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.6

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.75

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.96

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.69

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.25

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 1,024.15 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 91.1% 301.99 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 38% 900 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 90.4% 301.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 87.7% 8.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 87.6% 24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 87.8% 20.96 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 87.7% 264.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 87.5% 228 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 76% 999.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 88% 520 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

No 99.5% 150 shares