No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Polymarket Trader
0x09ca...90f5
0x09cafb4f84196812ec9568694ec1e557b48790f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.65
- Realized PnL
- -$6.58
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $9.42
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $8.45
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $6.27
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 4.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Y
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 23% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 6.03 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of July 6 2026?No 42% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 8 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 70% 7.1 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 79% 6.38 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 88% 6.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 71% 7.1 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No 79.7% 6.27 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.6% 6.02 shares