Polymarket Trader

torin99

0x09cc5533bb875897e8806848597b5931987dcffe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $792.49
Realized PnL: $265.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $56.77
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$35.55

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $90.8
Potential payout: $726.42
Potential profit: $635.62
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.72

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $74.82
Potential payout: $359.71
Potential profit: $284.89
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: -$25.18

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $63.13
Potential payout: $320.44
Potential profit: $257.31
Multiplier: 5.08x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $38.37
Potential payout: $272.3
Potential profit: $233.93
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: -$11.75

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $97.02
Potential payout: $130.23
Potential profit: $33.21
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$2.98

No position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $88.26
Potential payout: $104.45
Potential profit: $16.19
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $8.26

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $58.66
Potential payout: $102.02
Potential profit: $43.36
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.54
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $63.57
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $41.51
Potential payout: $43.99
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.9%
Current value: $33.9
Potential payout: $40.89
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $34.36
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $27.14
Potential profit: $21.7
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$19.56

No position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $21.55
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $20.26
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $23.77

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

No position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

No position

Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.43

No position

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

No position

Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

No position

Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $10.09

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $7.93

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will the US strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.98

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

No 91.2% 37.97 shares
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

No 69% 57.97 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.7% 105.51 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 33% 29.94 shares
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

No 96.7% 20.68 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 131.74 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.1% 115.18 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 34% 40.44 shares
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

No 82.4% 24.26 shares
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

No 99% 20.21 shares
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 98.7% 20.26 shares
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

No 90.8% 3.3 shares