Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.68K
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $398.51
Polymarket Trader
0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307
0x09d2808f2bb35f98cee9d106997b5f04a910a3ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.82K
- Realized PnL
- $969.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $278.88
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $32.34
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $940
- Potential profit
- $934.83
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $605.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $186.1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.92
- Potential payout
- $305
- Potential profit
- $279.07
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $289.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $288.7
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $268
- Potential profit
- $265.72
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.38
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $63.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $186.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$17.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $230.28
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $239.16
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $226.43
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $148.99
- Potential profit
- $146.83
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $127.86
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $106.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.43
No position
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.16
No position
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.53
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.15
Yes position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.22
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.38
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.45
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Yes position
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $8.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 10 shares
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 0.1% 14.99 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 3% 12.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.6% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7% 30 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78.7% 65 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes 8.5% 73.21 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 75.1% 10 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 33% 5 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 87.9% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No 66% 15 shares