Polymarket Trader

Toxz

0x09ddc3a0d9043967e53a93317bb942ff3c4c5ca7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $209.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.84
Potential profit: $84.84
User PnL: -$15.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.42
Potential profit: $68.42
User PnL: -$13.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.83
Potential profit: $40.83
User PnL: -$7.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.88
Potential profit: $39.88
User PnL: -$10.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.75
Potential profit: $38.75
User PnL: -$10.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.9
Potential profit: $34.9
User PnL: -$14.78

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.31
Potential profit: $31.31
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.6
Potential profit: $30.6
User PnL: -$2.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.15
Potential profit: $29.15
User PnL: -$15.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.72
Potential profit: $26.72
User PnL: -$12.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.95
User PnL: -$11.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.57
Potential profit: $24.57
User PnL: -$11.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.76
Potential profit: $21.76
User PnL: -$6.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.22
Potential profit: $21.22
User PnL: -$3.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.12
Potential profit: $21.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.79
Potential profit: $19.79
User PnL: -$12.74

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $15.69
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.31
Potential profit: $15.31
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.16
Potential profit: $15.16
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $12.77
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: -$7.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

FURIA Esports position

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 30% 3.33 shares
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes 2.5% 26.59 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Yes 34% 5.88 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Yes 31% 6.45 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Yes 42.5% 7.07 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Yes 88% 14.28 shares
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)

No 62% 6.94 shares
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 29)

No 71% 4.23 shares
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)

No 62% 4.84 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Yes 56% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Down 48% 3.03 shares