Polymarket Trader

ronaldk

0x09e27c2cbcd98c7e821ef66b309506701dcf29de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.38K
Realized PnL: $16.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.4
Potential profit: $909.4
User PnL: -$85.79

Yes position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $615.39
Potential payout: $641.37
Potential profit: $25.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $181.91

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $373.35
Potential payout: $570
Potential profit: $196.65
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $124.22

No position

Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $506
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $280.2

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.89
Potential profit: $457.89
User PnL: -$297.18

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $392.61
Potential payout: $423.3
Potential profit: $30.69
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $216.66

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$160.86

No position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $225.18
Potential payout: $333.6
Potential profit: $108.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $95.89
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $127.11
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.03
Potential profit: $95.03
User PnL: -$63.25

No position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $71.82
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.05

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.81

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.76

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875.22

No position

Trump approval >45% on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $712.02

Yes position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $704.82

No position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $674.03

Yes position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.08

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.97

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.76

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608.42

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.12

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.4

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.07

Yes position

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.84

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $488.64

Yes position

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $461.23

No position

Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.07

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.55

No position

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No 66.9% 333.6 shares
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?

Yes 87.5% 32 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Yes 63% 1,666 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 8% 3,100 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 10% 1,443.02 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 10.9% 2,000 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 46% 652 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 9.4% 15,899 shares
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?

Yes 36% 1,226 shares
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?

Yes 62.5% 400 shares
Will Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 92% 8 shares
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Yes 53.3% 1,591.41 shares