Polymarket Trader

imakebigbets

0x09e3835d39e097ec0011824fbf647ff032a748ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.11K
Realized PnL: $29.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$186.63

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $12.57K
Potential payout: $13.89K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09K
Potential profit: $11.09K
User PnL: -$7.28K

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.94K
Potential profit: $9.94K
User PnL: -$465.33

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $8.11K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.86K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $200.17

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $5.98K
Potential payout: $6.11K
Potential profit: $125.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $173.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.66K
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $987.52
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$45.07

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41K
Potential profit: $5.41K
User PnL: -$2.76K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $2.92K
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$372.32

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.44K
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $521.13
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.3K
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $399.48
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $389.36

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.51K

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$485.16

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $800.74
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$2.58K

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $3.27K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $225.31
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $92.37

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$422.46

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $373.99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $411.77

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.89K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $10.17
User PnL: $359.94

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $2.65K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $145.38
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $140.93

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $21.45
User PnL: $170.06

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $7.51
User PnL: $201.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81K

Yes position

Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819.99

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Suns

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $777.92

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.22

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.99

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.03

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.91

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $642.48

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.84

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Magic

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $574.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.62

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Rockets

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.29

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.01

Rams position

Rams vs. Ravens

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.77

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.15

No position

Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.81

76ers position

Spread: Celtics (-13.5)

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Brewers position

Cubs vs. Brewers

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.49

Bengals position

Spread: Steelers (-5.5)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 49% 689.99 shares
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Spurs 64.1% 1,709.73 shares
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Spurs 59% 60 shares
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Spurs 52% 4,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 85% 520 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 99.3% 2,222 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 33.8% 5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 84% 420 shares
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Spurs 52% 420 shares
76ers vs. Knicks

76ers 33% 303.03 shares
76ers vs. Knicks

76ers 47% 212.77 shares
76ers vs. Knicks

76ers 23% 1,304.35 shares