Polymarket Trader

Thombg

@TomdePoer

0x09e4639ba60d233146d27515b7dffbd23c0b93aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.73K
Realized PnL: $4.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.68K
Potential profit: $6.68K
User PnL: -$105.04

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $16.8
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $556.58
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $156.58

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$370.81

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $78.32
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $91.46

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $143.69
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $63.26

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$5.09

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $63.73
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $57.86

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $226.88
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $48.13

No position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $147.22
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$33.44

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $889.76
Potential payout: $961.9
Potential profit: $72.14
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.12

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $890.96
Potential payout: $944.31
Potential profit: $53.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $299.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $11.29

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.95
Potential profit: $230.95
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.72
Potential profit: $191.72
User PnL: -$101.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.87

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.98

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335

No position

Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.53

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.11

No position

Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.55

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.84

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.57

No position

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.76

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.08

No position

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.42

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $167.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.79

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.35

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.09

No position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.34

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.27

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.44

Yes position

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.36

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.77

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 97.9% 1,500 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95.6% 1,100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 2,631.58 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95.5% 850 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.3% 2,800 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 600 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94.2% 700 shares
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 16.82 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 94.9% 609.59 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 95% 590.41 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.2% 2,700 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 87% 804.6 shares