No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $8.59K
- User PnL
- -$6.27K
Polymarket Trader
-yanis-
0x09f800ae977a55cd7cb284c71143d28c1e4f2689
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $856.53
- Realized PnL
- -$231.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $197.42
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $172.42
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $428.4
- Potential payout
- $484.07
- Potential profit
- $55.67
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $111.31
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $7.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $103.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.1
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 67.77 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 416.3 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 59.17 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.8% 103.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.9% 156.51 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 103.19 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 46.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 2% 6.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 22% 4.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown 61% 1.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown 61% 1.64 shares