Polymarket Trader

Violret

0x09fc8c0c9986ef9406620813e3e3c4aec99dd08a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.19
Realized PnL: -$56.18
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.05
Potential profit: $24.05
User PnL: -$5.77

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $20.19
Potential payout: $23.75
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $3.73

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Under position

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$56.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 80% 23.75 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 1,785.71 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 970.83 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 970.83 shares
No one announced as next James Bond?

Yes 86.3% 124.51 shares
No one announced as next James Bond?

Yes 90% 124.51 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.4% 128.65 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.5% 128.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 24% 24.05 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Aurora Gaming 97.2% 2.06 shares
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Natus Vincere 87% 3.45 shares
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 92% 3.26 shares