No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $247.07
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $782.37
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$285.93
Polymarket Trader
GlockShoot
0x0a00722a5fd1a37c10f0f4bcdb6fb2ef0a3960aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $712.45
- Potential payout
- $724.77
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $30.45
No position
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $420.47
- Potential payout
- $637.08
- Potential profit
- $216.61
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $20.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $198.74
- Potential payout
- $378.56
- Potential profit
- $179.82
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$43.26
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $29.62
- Potential payout
- $311.78
- Potential profit
- $282.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$170.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.29
- Potential profit
- $88.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $131.37
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.08
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $98.31
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.44
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.52
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.71
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.59
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.93
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.93
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.33
No position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $14.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.09
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 94.1% 724.76 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Yes 93.5% 664.11 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 93.4% 665.58 shares
- Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?Yes 93.2% 17.17 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No 62.8% 637.08 shares
- Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No 60.6% 683.66 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Yes 64% 374.86 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 86% 279.8 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?Yes 54% 3.7 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 83% 2.82 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 82.4% 282.62 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No 96.4% 240.14 shares