Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $129.73
- Potential payout
- $603.42
- Potential profit
- $473.68
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Polymarket Trader
v38
0x0a1b3e0cf66d6d45c9c98b947dacbcb65f900979
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.73
- Realized PnL
- $959.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$260
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330.57
- Potential profit
- $330.57
- User PnL
- -$253.57
Yes position
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.83
- Potential profit
- $274.83
- User PnL
- -$242.26
No position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.24
- Potential profit
- $179.24
- User PnL
- -$171.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.5
- Potential profit
- $154.5
- User PnL
- -$88.06
Yes position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.29
- Potential profit
- $147.29
- User PnL
- -$132.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.55
- Potential profit
- $123.55
- User PnL
- -$118
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.95
- Potential profit
- $118.95
- User PnL
- -$99.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.34
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.98
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.37
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.84
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.12
No position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
No position
Will Trump say "King Charles" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.96
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.55
No position
Will Trump say "Gay" during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Yes position
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
Yes position
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 13.64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 59.8% 434.78 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 73.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes 89.4% 386.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No 11.5% 112.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?No 95.5% 123.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?No 92.4% 102.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?Yes 94.1% 117.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?Yes 94.7% 118.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 5?No 97.8% 112.49 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?Yes 97.6% 111.73 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 95% 114.75 shares