No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $46.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.9
Polymarket Trader
0x0a21...90a6
0x0a2192d14455d5827411e2746b7ccc2dfd1e90a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $100.69
- Realized PnL
- -$22.54
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $28.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.07
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$23.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.6% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 15 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 11 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 86% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.9% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 9.2% 13 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.2% 10 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 19% 13 shares