Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $8.59K
- User PnL
- -$243.98
Polymarket Trader
Khameneii
0x0a21df72ef080e0e8134e5256fd52b8b6381c97c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.06
- Realized PnL
- $468.49
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $15.06
- Potential payout
- $251
- Potential profit
- $235.94
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$34.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.38
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.12
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.44
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Yes 1.2% 2,563.9 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 98.8% 249.27 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes 3.2% 2,187.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes 2.8% 5,436.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes 1.4% 3,543.69 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes 2.5% 962.05 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,666.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 50% 98.01 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 51% 98.02 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 217.39 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?Yes 58% 349.04 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes 64.5% 622.18 shares