Polymarket Trader

4296

0x0a2dc15812ec143338f1d194e523b3dc34951d12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $549.89
Realized PnL: $2.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.96
Potential profit: $458.96
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $52.22
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $392.22
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431.9
Potential profit: $431.9
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$300

No position

Over $200M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $398.97
Potential payout: $401.38
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $64.57
Potential payout: $274.78
Potential profit: $210.21
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.83
Potential profit: $270.83
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $34.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $215.88
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.31
Potential profit: $181.31
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.36
Potential profit: $179.36
User PnL: -$98.65

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.86
Potential profit: $177.86
User PnL: -$24.9

No position

Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.79
Potential profit: $172.79
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.09
Potential profit: $159.09
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.69
Potential profit: $157.69
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154
Potential profit: $154
User PnL: -$53.9

Over position

Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.72
Potential profit: $150.72
User PnL: -$104

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.18
Potential profit: $149.18
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.15
Potential profit: $146.15
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.58
Potential profit: $132.58
User PnL: -$49.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.88

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.63

No position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.26

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.04

Yes position

Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.19

No position

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.5

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.67

No position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.43

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.83

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.45

Over position

AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26

No position

Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.03

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.39

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Over position

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

No position

Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 80% 50 shares
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 65% 60.6 shares
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 66% 60.61 shares
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

No 76% 7.89 shares
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 46% 89.15 shares
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?

No 25% 140 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 14% 177.86 shares
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No 37% 29.73 shares
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 9.4% 12.98 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?

No 23% 60.87 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

No 86% 116.28 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?

No 49.8% 122.6 shares