No position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Polymarket Trader
twbmvnc
0x0a32fb7ed2f4a5f6e0f55524c67c71df60f8b0b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $229.94
- Realized PnL
- $131.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $229.94
- Potential payout
- $239.4
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.39
- Potential profit
- $104.39
- User PnL
- -$82.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 205.36 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 89% 116.51 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No 97.1% 30.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No 99.2% 26.72 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No 97.4% 56.26 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes 99.2% 54.8 shares
- Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?No 99.4% 54.36 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No 98.8% 54.05 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No 96.8% 53.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?Yes 53% 33 shares
- Magic vs. KingsMagic 52% 30.77 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 99.6% 17.14 shares