No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $24.86K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- $237.5
Polymarket Trader
taincap
0x0a417d8a68c3b17e61f8e5c0a42eeaa1b75a492a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.29K
- Realized PnL
- $23.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.28K
- Potential payout
- $17.31K
- Potential profit
- $25.96
- User PnL
- $241.01
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $9.92K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$49.58
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.3K
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $661.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $452.58
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.65K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- User PnL
- $249.43
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.35K
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $302.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $372.21
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $689.21
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$62.15
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$847.12
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $762.34
- Potential profit
- $762.34
- User PnL
- -$335.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.89
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.82
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.42
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.57
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.91
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.54
No position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.02
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.92
No position
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.5% 17,307.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.7% 17,031.03 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 9,916.45 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 25,000 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 94.8% 5,699.2 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 75% 70.21 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 75% 2,236.01 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.2% 10,973.57 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 71% 19,639.78 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 71% 14,467.4 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 77% 7,854.99 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 77% 3,025.59 shares