Polymarket Trader

Gargamellll

0x0a43e616a01fdcd2b27878b0664befa1d2821050

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $422.84
Realized PnL: $160.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $106.52
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $38.41
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $6.52

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $62.1
Potential payout: $130.73
Potential profit: $68.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $78.79
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $67.91
Potential payout: $74.63
Potential profit: $6.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $17.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.17
Potential profit: $71.17
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.27
Potential profit: $59.27
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.25

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $39.74
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $10.25
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $30.02
Potential payout: $35.53
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $27.75
Potential payout: $28.15
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $26.57
Potential payout: $27.53
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Up 65% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 81% 6.17 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

No 16.9% 59.27 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 43% 6.98 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 26% 70.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 97% 10.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 93% 5.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 94% 5.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 91% 20.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 54% 9.26 shares