Polymarket Trader

AqpW

0x0a44a37c8e64cb5dd3b6cc08415112061277a45a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: -$159
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.34K
Potential profit: $34.34K
User PnL: -$11.29K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.5K
Potential profit: $13.5K
User PnL: -$5.68K

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $9.9K
Potential profit: $8.86K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $551.38

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$89.84

No position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$108.17

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$94.04

No position

Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump blowout victory?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.5

No position

Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Walz position

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$280

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3% 300 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.7% 59.99 shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Yes 4% 500 shares
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

No 62% 200 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.8% 2,058.23 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.7% 777 shares
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

No 75% 200 shares
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament

No 12% 200 shares
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?

Yes 19.7% 100 shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Yes 11% 500 shares
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?

Yes 5.5% 37 shares
Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?

Yes 3% 3,002.86 shares